Good input from LikeBike on trip planning. Whether the upcoming typhoon season will be an unusually bad one or not (it seems to have gotten off to a roaring start) is pretty much irrelevant for you. Obviously you arenft going to want to do this hike in foul weather, so all that really matters is the immediate near-term forecast for the period you will be hiking. If itfs possible for you to arrange your itinerary so you have more than one possible set of dates to hike, you stand to have a better chance of completing it.
I am surprised at how few of the many people who post itineraries and day plans ever even mention weather, when it can be such a huge factor in how enjoyable a given dayfs activities will be. I get the sense that travelers who have elaborate plans designed to get them to half a dozen (or more) of the most popular sites in Kyoto (essentially all of them outdoors) will just soldier on in the rain no matter what. What I see more often is people who have decided not to come to Japan at all during the so-called Rainy Season (tsuyu). Some of them seem to think that it rains heavily and constantly during tsuyu, or if they avoid tsuyu (or typhoon season, or whatever) they arenft going to have to contend with rain or something. When I plan a trip, I always include rainy-day options for each day on my itinerary, and I also consider the flexibility value of various rail passes in terms of supporting such contingencies. I might pay a little more for a pass than I would pay for point-to-point tickets if the weather were to be perfect, but the possibility of being able to take a train to a location where it isnft raining, or to enjoy a pleasant limited express train ride in the rain without having to get my feet wet, can be worth a few thousand yen (of course, not tens of thousands, butc). Of course, you can engage in sightseeing in the rain with an umbrella, and in fact Japanese gardens are often better in the rain, but itfs always good to have alternatives in your back pocket, especially when rain turns out to be heavy or unusually frequent.
Regarding cancellable hotel reservations, I am noticing that many hotels in Japan these days are starting to extend the period during which you can cancel at no charge. I donft like to commit myself to any hotels with cancellation windows longer than a couple of days or so, so these days it is one of the first things I check before I get serious in picking a given hotel. There are some hotels (looking at you, Tobu Levant) and one specific chain (looking at you, Royal Park THE) that I used to use that I donft even bother to check prices on anymore because they have seriously extended their cancellation windows. Fortunately, a large number of hotels still have one- or two-day (or at most three-day) windows. I rarely cancel hotels on short notice, but like to know that if I end up wanting to I will be able to.
Ifm afraid that it is probably true that the huge influx of foreign tourists in recent years has caused a lot of hotels to start imposing less-flexible cancellation policies. I never used to see so many long windows. Ifm not happy with this trend, but fortunately there are still a lot of hotels that have a one- or two-day window, and also a lot of hotels that donft require a credit card number to be provided in advance (Ifm not sure how long that policy will lastc). I almost always pay by credit card but prefer not to be constantly giving the number out online.
Sorry, I have steered the thread off topic (as usual). But I do think that the input on having alternative plans, possibly with an alternative set of hotel reservations, is good. I do worry that if too many people do this sort of thing (strategic double booking of hotels) it will make the situation worse, but I think that many hotels are still going to keep their windows short, because they know that many people wonft even consider using them if they have extreme policies. Of course, places like ryokans that serve specialized food need to know well in advance how many guests will be staying, but a 14-day window at Kyoto Brighton Hotel??? Give me a breakc
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